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Q2 FY27 results analysis · October 24, 2026

BPCL Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: PAT Falls 21%, Revenue Jumps 30%

−21.5%PAT year on year, Rs. 4,863.05 Cr
Cofacto ResearchPublished October 24, 20262 min readNegative read
Quick summary

BPCL's Q2 FY27 numbers came in soft, with revenue of Rs. 157,817.93 Cr (+29.78% YoY) and PAT growth of -21.46% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateOctober 23, 2026
QuarterQ2 FY 2026-2027
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 157,817.93 Cr (+29.78% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 4,863.05 Cr (-21.46% YoY)
EBITDA margin5.89% (-262 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 11.38 (-21.46% YoY)
Market capRs. 122,324.16 Cr
CMPRs. 281.95

Quarter Snapshot

BPCL delivered 29.78% YoY revenue growth and a sharp sequential swing back to profit (standalone PAT Rs.4,993.17 Cr vs Q1 loss of Rs.3,962.13 Cr), but consolidated PAT still fell 21.46% YoY as EBITDA margin compressed to 5.89% from 8.51% on suppressed marketing margins and elevated crude costs. The LPG buffer widened to Rs.17,334.40 Cr despite Rs.3,796.98 Cr of MoPNG compensation, and H1 operating cash flow was negative at Rs.2,982.69 Cr. Capex execution is on track at 37.83% of the Rs.25,000 Cr FY27 guidance, but governance concerns around Audit Committee constitution persist.

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Revenue grew 29.78% YoY to Rs.1,57,817.93 Cr (consolidated), volume-plus-price led
  • Refinery throughput rose 6.01% YoY to 10.41 MMT; domestic market sales grew 6.31% YoY to 13.47 MMT
  • Export sales grew 63.89% YoY to 0.59 MMT
  • Standalone PAT swung from a Q1 loss of Rs.3,962.13 Cr to a profit of Rs.4,993.17 Cr (+Rs.8,955.30 Cr swing)
  • H1 capex of Rs.9,457.30 Cr is 37.83% of the Rs.25,000 Cr FY27 guidance; standalone CWIP rose to Rs.21,384.95 Cr from Rs.16,394.07 Cr at Mar-26
  • Consolidated debt excluding leases fell Rs.2,556.70 Cr QoQ to Rs.51,217.91 Cr
  • FX loss narrowed to Rs.51.03 Cr in H1FY27 from Rs.541.00 Cr in the prior half
  • MoPNG LPG compensation of Rs.3,796.98 Cr recognised in H1FY27 revenue per the notified instalment schedule

Risk Factors

  • Consolidated PAT fell 21.46% YoY to Rs.4,863.05 Cr while revenue grew 29.78% YoY
  • Downstream segment result fell 12.53% YoY with margin down to 4.48% from 6.65% on suppressed marketing margins
  • Cumulative net negative LPG buffer widened Rs.5,015.88 Cr in H1 to Rs.17,334.40 Cr despite Rs.3,796.98 Cr of compensation received
  • Consolidated EBITDA margin compressed to 5.89% from 8.51% YoY; finance costs rose 56.56% YoY
  • H1 consolidated operating cash flow was negative at Rs.2,982.69 Cr and FCF was −Rs.12,439.99 Cr
  • Board lacks required independent directors and a woman director; Audit Committee could not be constituted per auditors' limited review

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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.