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Q2 FY27 results analysis · November 13, 2026

ITI Ltd Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: Revenue Slips 11%, Going Concern Flag Raised

−11.3%Revenue year on year, Rs. 481.99 Cr
Cofacto ResearchPublished November 13, 20264 min readNegative read
Quick summary

ITI Ltd's Q2 FY27 numbers came in soft. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateNovember 13, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 481.99 Cr (-11.30% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. -31.44 Cr
EBITDA margin1.35% (+157 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. -0.33

Quarter Snapshot

Q2 revenue of Rs.481.99 crore fell 11.30% YoY but rebounded 13.40% QoQ, while the operating loss narrowed 38.04% YoY and derived EBITDA turned positive at 1.35% margin. The balance sheet is the weak flank: CFO swung to -Rs.348.79 crore, borrowings rose Rs.325.08 crore to 0.59x net worth, and the limited reviewer issued a Disclaimer of Conclusion with a going-concern material uncertainty. The Rs.18,220.53 crore order book and December 2026 ASCON Phase-IV handover are the key levers, but conversion into revenue and cash remains unproven.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Revenue"Q2 is more likely to show early billing commencement than full run-rate" — soft trendRevenue +13.40% QoQ, −11.30% YoYPartially
Margins"operating flat-to-compressing… the cost squeeze lands in-quarter" (memory costs)EBITDA margin improved to 1.35% from 0.42% — filing silent on input costsContradicted this quarter
Finance costs"finance costs should ease… land-sale-funded debt repayment reduces interest from Q2"Finance costs +27.85% QoQ (Rs.38.33 Cr vs Rs.29.98 Cr); −27.67% YoY; borrowings +Rs.325.08 CrContradicted on QoQ direction
Auditor positionWatch whether the Disclaimer of Conclusion persistsIt persisted, on both standalone and consolidated resultsPlayed out
ASCON milestones"treat those milestones as at-risk until confirmed"No ASCON progress update in the filingNot observable
Order-book gap"the unreconciled order-book gap… and any fresh order disclosure"Rs.18,220.53 Cr re-cited in note 10 (basis still undefined)Played out
GST land-sale receipt"the pending Rs.30.11 Cr GST land-sale receipt"Rs.30.11 Cr received in H1 (cash flow)Played out
MSP after August deadline"MSP position after the August 2026 deadline"Promoter still 90.02%, under consideration — non-compliance persistsPlayed out

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhat happenedVerdict
Going concern is appropriate on order book, unbilled conversion, bank sanctions, GoI support and land monetization · management statement in the Q2 filing (note 10)Order book Rs.18,220.53 Cr (~20× H1 revenue) and unbilled Rs.2,408.46 Cr support the claim; but CFO of −Rs.348.79 Cr, borrowings +Rs.325.08 Cr, and no land-sale closure strain the working-capital and monetization…Too Early
Order book provides a "robust foundation for future growth" · CMD, FY26 annual reportBook-to-H1-revenue coverage of 20.09×; but conversion into Q2 revenue was −11.30% YoYConfirmed on stock, Contradicted on flow

Key Numbers, Quarter by Quarter

MetricMar-26Jun-26Sep-26
Order book (Rs. Cr)~18,637 (FY26 AR, incl. advance POs)13,882.81 (Q1 filing)18,220.53 (Q2 filing note 10)
Unbilled revenue (Rs. Cr)2,241.112,346.152,408.46
Employees1,166——
EBITDA margin % (derived)— (FY26: pre-exceptional loss)0.421.35

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Revenue rebounded 13.40% QoQ to Rs.481.99 crore from Q1's five-quarter low of Rs.425.03 crore
  • Operating loss narrowed 38.04% YoY to Rs.32.55 crore from Rs.52.53 crore; H1 loss narrowed 46.0% to Rs.63.69 crore
  • P&L-derived EBITDA turned positive at Rs.6.51 crore with margin of 1.35% vs (0.22)% YoY and 0.42% QoQ
  • Order book of Rs.18,220.53 crore equals ~20.09x H1 revenue; unbilled revenue of Rs.2,408.46 crore expected to convert within 12 months
  • Employee costs fell 16.13% YoY to Rs.32.13 crore; finance costs fell 27.67% YoY to Rs.38.33 crore
  • Revival plan assistance of Rs.3,084.35 crore (74.2%) of the CCEA-approved Rs.4,156.79 crore received to date
  • Rs.30.11 crore pending GST land-sale receipt received in H1; Rs.55.00 crore income-tax refund received

Risk Factors

  • Revenue declined 11.30% YoY, the second straight quarter of YoY decline; H1 revenue down 12.91%
  • Disclaimer of Conclusion by the limited reviewer on Q2/H1 results, with going-concern material uncertainty flagged; FY26 audit carried a Disclaimer of Opinion
  • Operating cash flow swung from +Rs.37.22 crore to -Rs.348.79 crore; FCF of -Rs.348.86 crore with capex near zero
  • Current borrowings rose Rs.325.08 crore to Rs.1,090.02 crore (0.59x net worth) while net worth eroded Rs.64.78 crore; cash cover only Rs.18.70 crore
  • Branch-auditor matters: Palakkad receivables of Rs.893.54 crore overdue >3 years against ECL provision of only Rs.3.31 crore; Raebareli unbilled revenue of Rs.146.88 crore pertaining to earlier years
  • Minimum public shareholding non-compliance persists with promoter (GoI) at 90.02% vs the 25% requirement

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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.